Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Monday, October 25, 2004
Florida: Good News
This article in the St. Petersburg Times is set up to warn of a tie scenario like in 2000, because the current Florida poll shows 46-46-7-1 (Bush-Kerry-Undecided-Nader). But that's actually great news, because we know from historical data that undecideds will likely break for Kerry by a factor of 3 or 4 to 1. So if this poll is right, I'd say the actual split is Kerry 51 to Bush 48.