Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Friday, February 11, 2005
Friday Prez Odds Update
GOP: Cheney's out. Lowering him a little. Giuliani visited South Carolina. I thought there was a chance he wouldn't run, but this tells me I was wrong. Improved his odds. I think I was lowballing Condi Rice. People are talking her up as the way to neutralize Hillary. She's my big mover of the week - going from 75:1 to 22:1.
Dems: Hardball says Gore is running. Move to 9:2. Anyone see John Edwards's speech in New Hampshire last weekend? He's definitely running. We all knew that, but it's surprising that he's out stumping already, and his speech is pretty good. But he still seems a little plastic. Keeping him at 4:1. Apparently Richardson is in. I still think 6:1 is about right. I'm moving Joe Biden down to 8:1 - nothing about his intentions yet.