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| Friday, December 23, 2005 |
| 2008 Presidential Odds Update |
Republicans:
- Agree with Taegan Goddard that Bill Frist is not looking like a very compelling candidate at the moment. He's proved fairly ineffectual as Senate majority leader. He'll have to engage in a re-make of his image soon after he leaves the Senate in 2006 to have any chance at the nomination. I'm taking him from 10:1 to 12:1.
- I'm going to drop Chuck Hagel down just a tad, from 8:1 to 9:1. He's been critisizing Bush a lot lately. Not positive how that will play with the base.
- Dropping Condi Rice from 20:1 to 25:1. Should have done this awhile ago. She won't run (but if she did, she'd have a good shot).
Democrats:
- Hillary Clinton's road temporarily got easier with the dropout of Jeanine Pirro from the 2006 Senate race, allowing Hillary to save some money. But Ed Cox (Nixon's son-in-law) is likely to step in and run, so it won't be a cakewalk for Hill. No change.
- Moving Russ Feingold up from 17:1 to 13:1. Some article (can't remember where) called him "the perfect Democratic candidate. That can't hurt. |
posted by CB @ 10:28 AM   |
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