Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Thursday, January 05, 2006
What will happen now in Israel?
Ariel Sharon's illness, and possible death, will be much the opposite of Yasser Arafat's death two years ago. While Arafat's death allowed for the Palestinian government to begin negotiations and make some compromises, therefore providing a huge boost to the peace process, it's quite possible that Sharon's exit from the government of Israel will seriously stall the move toward peaceful coexistance.
Assuming Sharon cannot run in the March elections, it's likely to be a 3-way race between Labor's Amir Peretz (who would probably work with Palestine, but has little credibility as of yet), Likud's Benjamin Netanyahu (who would almost definitely stop concessions to Palestinians and maybe even reverse some of Sharon's progress), and Sharon's deputy Ehud Olmert (nobody knows what he thinks independently).
It's amazing to think of Ariel Sharon, former hard-line military general, as the best chance Israel/Palestine have for peace, but I'm afraid that's likely the case.