Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Friday, August 25, 2006
Friday President Odds Update
Democrats Hillary Clinton 5:3. Big article in TIME about her electibility. Poll was mixed. No change in odds for now. Mark Warner 5:1. John Edwards 5:1. Al Gore 8:1. Dropping Al back a little further, from 11:2 to 8:1. His unfavorables are still somewhat high in Iowa (guess they don't go to the movies), and adding Nevada and SC to the early primary states doesn't play to his advantage. If CA or NY were near the beginning, it would be all his. Evan Bayh 10:1. Bill Richardson 11:1 Russ Feingold 13:1. He hasn't been joining the others in Iowa, as far as I can tell. I'm dropping him from 10:1 to 13:1. John Kerry 14:1 Barack Obama 14:1. Wes Clark 15:1. Same comment as Feingold. Dropping from 13:1 to 15:1. Joe Biden 17:1 Tom Daschle 22:1. Tom Vilsack 28:1 Chris Dodd 35:1. He doesn't have a shot, but he is running. Mike Bloomberg 40:1. In light of his statement that he wouldn't run, I'm taking Bloomberg out. If anything leads me to believe there's a chance again, I'll bring him back into the rankings. Bill Bradley 48:1 Brian Schweitzer 60:1 Bill Nelson 65:1 Howard Dean 85:1 Janet Napolitano 100:1
Republicans John McCain 2:1. Continues to tie up key GOP allies. Rudy Giuliani 5:1. Mitt Romney 9:1. Moving up again for the 2nd week in a row. He's getting pretty good traction in Iowa. George Pataki 16:1 George Allen 16:1 Chuck Hagel 17:1. Bill Frist 17:1. . Some of the criticism of Frist has died down, but if Nov swings the Dems way it will pick back up again. For now, I'll bump him one point. Condoleezza Rice 18:1 Mike Huckabee 20:1. Not getting any traction in Iowa. Sam Brownback 20:1 Jeb Bush 24:1 Colin Powell 35:1 Tom Ridge 35:1 Bill Owens 40:1 Haley Barbour 40:1 Mike Bloomberg 60:1. See above. Dick Cheney 125:1 Christie Todd Whitman 150:1