Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Friday, August 18, 2006
2008 President Odds Update
Democrats Hillary Clinton 5:3. When I was at Saratoga Race Track a few weeks ago, Hillary came to the box at the finishing line to watch a race. She was initially booed (upstate NY is pretty red), but there were plenty of admirers too. That's Hillary in a nutshell I suppose. (No this is Hillary in a nutshell. How did I get in this bloody big nutshell. What kind of shell... has a nut... like this...) Mark Warner 5:1. John Edwards 5:1. Adding Nevada and SC to the early primaries plays right into his hands. Al Gore 11:2. Russ Feingold 10:1 Evan Bayh 10:1. Aggressively hiring staff in Iowa. He'll be one of those candidates who just coasts along for awhile, and will hope to have a kickass debate or two to propel him forward. Bill Richardson 11:1 Wes Clark 13:1 John Kerry 14:1 Barack Obama 14:1. Could he run? Could he? I think he could. Joe Biden 17:1 Tom Daschle 22:1. Tom Vilsack 28:1 Chris Dodd 35:1 Mike Bloomberg 40:1 Dick Gephardt 45:1. I'm dropping DG from the rankings. Haven't heard a peep. Bill Bradley 48:1 Brian Schweitzer 60:1 Bill Nelson 65:1 Howard Dean 85:1 Janet Napolitano 100:1
Republicans John McCain 2:1 Rudy Giuliani 5:1. Mitt Romney 10:1. He's apparently raising tons of money, and signing up a bunch of Bush's "Pioneers". I'm going to jump him up into 3rd place, at 10:1. I haven't seen any poll yet on how being Mormon would affect his support from the right wing. When I do, I'll update again. Newt Gingrich 11:1. . At least he's not a racist. George Pataki 16:1 George Allen 16:1. Dropping from 9:1 to 16:1. Racist remarks aren't good from a future President, and apparently Republican insiders think he's too much like George Bush, who no one would elect a 3rd time. It's curtains for you, Senator Allen. Chuck Hagel 17:1. Condoleezza Rice 18:1 Bill Frist 18:1. Mike Huckabee 20:1 Sam Brownback 20:1 Jeb Bush 24:1 Colin Powell 35:1 Tom Ridge 35:1 Bill Owens 40:1 Haley Barbour 40:1 Mike Bloomberg 60:1 Dick Cheney 125:1 Christie Todd Whitman 150:1