The Jaker

Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.


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Friday, April 29, 2005
Friday Prez Odds Update
Political Wire has a National Journal poll of congressional "insiders" ranking their choices for Presidential candidates. Here are their results (with my last week rank in parentheses):
Dems:
1. Clinton (1)
2. Edwards (2)
3. Warner (10)
4. Bayh (5)
5. Kerry (6)

GOP:
1. Allen (7)
2. McCain (3)
3. Frist (2)
4. Giuliani (4)
5. Romney (9)

Based on this I'm gonna move Warner and Allen up a little in my odds. The rest was pretty unsurprising. Other developments:

Dems:
- Momentum continues for Hill. I'm moving her from 4:1 to 5:2.
- Sen. Evan Bayh (IN) has $6.8m and is raising more. He's definitely running. And he is very formidable. Same likeability factor as Edwards with lots more experience. It would absolutely not surprise me if Bayh was top of the ticket in Summer '08.
- Interesting thoughts on Hillary's strategy
- I'm taking Howard Dean down to 25:1. Increasingly sure he's not going to run.

GOP:
- Mass Gov. Mitt Romney's approval rating has fallen to 43%. That doesn't do much for his presidential ambitions. Knocking him down a bit.
posted by CB @ 10:31 AM  
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