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Tuesday, September 27, 2005 |
Supreme Court Nomination on Friday? |
Talk Left cites CNN in saying that Bush might announce his O'Connor replacement on Friday. And the clue, apparently, as most of us suspected, is that he's going to pick a woman or a minority.
So I'm updating my Supreme Court Nomination odds. This will probably be my final version before the announcement. Let's see how I do. Last time Roberts was my 5th most likely, with odds of 8:1.
Consuelo Callahan - 4:1. Added her last time, clearly intriguing. Talk Left agrees. She's my new favorite. Too moderate for Bush? Edith Clement - 5:1. Not a clean swap for O'Connor, but Conservatives would be happy. Edith Jones - 8:1. She keeps hanging around. Definitely possible. Priscilla Owen - 9:1. Dropping her down on likelihood of filibuster. Emilio Miller Garza - 9:1. If it's a man, there's a good chance it's him. But it should be a woman. Larry Thompson - 10:1. Moving up on CNN mention. He's smart, which is a plus after Roberts. Edward Prado - 11:1 Harriet Miers - 11:1. A new entrant. Never a judge before though. Janice Rogers Brown - 12:1. Filibuster likely. Alice Batchelder - 13:1 Karen Williams - 14:1 Reena Raggi - 15:1 Alberto Gonzales - 15:1. I don't think Bush has the stomach for it. Sonia Sotomayor - 17:1 Samuel Alito Jr. - 19:1 Michael McConnell - 20:1 J. Michael Luttig - 22:1 J. Harvie Wilkinson - 25:1 Ted Olson - 30:1 John Cornyn - 40:1 William Pryor - 50:1 |
posted by CB @ 9:10 AM |
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