The Jaker

Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.

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Thursday, November 09, 2006
2008: It begins
As I suspected, we are now at the starting line of the race for President, and the competitors are lining up. First out of the dressing room for the Democrats looks to be Tom Vilsack, governor of Iowa (who did not run for re-election on Tuesday).

With regards to my 2008 Presidential Nomination Odds, I've said all along that people's odds would get better once they actually declare, so as each person officially files, I'll bump them a little, and give my summary of their chances.

Tom Vilsack
So today I'm moving Tom Vilsack up from 28:1 to 20:1.

Vilsack benefits somewhat from his geography... he's a midwesterner, which is a good demographic for the Democrats who want to be seen as a party of middle class people. His major problems are going to be attracting the big financial support early in the race, competing with Evan Bayh who has roughly the same natural constituency, and getting enough recognition on the coasts where Hillary, Obama, and Gore will attract all the attention. I give Vilsack a much better shot at being VP than P.
posted by CB @ 9:46 AM  
  • At 11:16 AM, Blogger Rob said…

    I think Vilsack's biggest problem is going to be his poor showing in his home state... The most recent poll from Iowa showed him in 4th place in his own state... if Iowans don't want him as President, why should the rest of the country?

  • At 11:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Senator Bayh is much awaited upon to announce his exploritory committee and is being looked forward to being the most important choice for President for the Democratic party and the United States Of America due to many things including his integerity, intellegent views on foreign policy, support of Israel in Middle-Eastern affairs, fiscal responsiblity in a bayh/bi-partisan manner, his strong stance on impressive education such as his 21st century scholars program that offers all students a scholorship, his experience as an seceratary of state, a two term governor, and a two term senator, as well as the strong and important region that he pulls in the election, feel free to rebutt this statement with anything that any of the other candidates have done, ie: Hillary, Gulianni, McCain, Richardson, Obama etc. but this is a minor list of what Senator Evan Bayh has achieved and still is yet to achieve...

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