With regards to my 2008 Presidential Nomination Odds, I've said all along that people's odds would get better once they actually declare, so as each person officially files, I'll bump them a little, and give my summary of their chances.
Tom Vilsack So today I'm moving Tom Vilsack up from 28:1 to 20:1.
Vilsack benefits somewhat from his geography... he's a midwesterner, which is a good demographic for the Democrats who want to be seen as a party of middle class people. His major problems are going to be attracting the big financial support early in the race, competing with Evan Bayh who has roughly the same natural constituency, and getting enough recognition on the coasts where Hillary, Obama, and Gore will attract all the attention. I give Vilsack a much better shot at being VP than P.