The Jaker

Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.

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Thursday, November 09, 2006
Tuesday's Impact on 2008
I also need to factor Tuesday into my nomination odds. The major change here will be George Allen. He started on this list with much better odds, and I gradually dropped him as the campaign went on and he kept shooting himself in the foot. He went into Tuesday at 16:1, but in light of his loss, I think he now becomes a 30:1 shot at best, with that likely being too optimistic. The only reason I'll hold him at 30 for now is that the right-wing base of the party loves him, and would love to help him recover. But it's more likely that I'll continue to drop him over the next year, depending on what he finds himself doing.

I'm also going to up Mitt Romney from 9:1 to 8:1. Yes, a Dem was elected to replace him as Mass governor, but I think he benefits significantly from Allen's demise. They were similar candidates.

I'll knock Pataki from 16:1 to 20:1. He couldn't avoid a Republican melt-down in New York.
posted by CB @ 9:55 AM  
  • At 10:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Senator Bayh is much awaited upon to announce his exploritory committee and is being looked forward to being the most important choice for President for the Democratic party and the United States Of America due to many things including his integerity, intellegent views on foreign policy, support of Israel in Middle-Eastern affairs, fiscal responsiblity in a bayh/bi-partisan manner, his strong stance on impressive education such as his 21st century scholars program that offers all students a scholorship, his experience as an seceratary of state, a two term governor, and a two term senator, as well as the strong and important region that he pulls in the election, feel free to rebutt this statement with anything that any of the other candidates have done, ie: Hillary, Gulianni, McCain, Richardson, Obama etc. but this is a minor list of what Senator Evan Bayh has achieved and still is yet to achieve...

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