The Jaker

Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.


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Tuesday, October 26, 2004
More on Gallup
MyDD has more on the Gallup issue. In Florida, 7 polls have the following spreads:
K+3, tied, tied, tied, K+1, K+2, B+1.
Would lead you to believe it's farily close, right? Maybe Kerry slightly ahead?

Gallup, on the other hand, says Bush is up by 8! Now, here's the reason: in 2000 the Florida electorate was 40% Dem, 38% Rep, 22% Ind. But Gallup thinks this election it will look more like 36% Dem, 44% Rep, and 19% Ind, and they weight their poll that way. They do this in all state polls and national polls too.

Moral: DON'T LISTEN TO GALLUP
posted by CB @ 1:23 PM  
1 Comments:
  • At 2:40 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    CB:

    This blog is terrific.

    Congrats!

    VB

     
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