Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Tuesday, November 21, 2006
2008 President Odds Update
Democrats Hillary Clinton 5:3 Barack Obama 5:1 John Edwards 6:1. Al Gore 7:1 Evan Bayh 10:1 Bill Richardson 10:1 John Kerry 14:1. Wes Clark 14:1. Joe Biden 16:1. Tom Daschle 22:1. Tom Vilsack 28:1 Chris Dodd 35:1. Bill Bradley 48:1 Brian Schweitzer 60:1 Bill Nelson 65:1 Howard Dean 85:1 Janet Napolitano 100:1
Republicans John McCain 3:1. I'm going to take McCain from 2:1 to 3:1. I don't think it's a shoo-in at all. Mitt Romney 6:1. I think Romney is going to become at least the initial main foe of McCain. Moving from 8:1 to 6:1. As I've said a few times, I think all of these top 3 have issues, potentially opening up an opportunity for Gingrich, Hagel, or even Brownback. Rudy Giuliani 8:1.. Despite good-looking polls, I'm moving Giuliani down. He's a pro-choice, pro gun control, pro-gay Republican who just can't really win this nomination, can he? Taking him from 5:1 to 8:1. Newt Gingrich 11:1 Condoleezza Rice 16:1. Moving up from 18:1 to 16:1. She's said no many times, but I think Bush might push her in. Unlikely but possible. Chuck Hagel 17:1. Sam Brownback 17:1. He says there's room for a full-scale conservative, and I think he's right. He and Gingrich are the most likely. Moving from 20:1 to 17:1. Bill Frist 17:1. Mike Huckabee 20:1 George Pataki 22:1 Jeb Bush 24:1 George Allen 30:1 Mark Sanford 30:1 Colin Powell 35:1 Tom Ridge 35:1 Duncan Hunter 38:1. NEW ENTRANT! Bill Owens 40:1 Haley Barbour 40:1 Dick Cheney 125:1 Christie Todd Whitman 150:1