Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Monday, November 13, 2006
2008: Another favorite bites the dust
Today brings news that Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold, a favorite of the bloggers and other leftys, largely because he was the "1" in the 99-1 Senate vote approving the Patriot Act, has decided not to run for President in 2008.
Somewhat surprising, since a lot of insiders thought he had a good chance to be the main left-sided opposition to front-runner Hillary Clinton.
Who this really helps? One man in particular: Barack Obama. Who else is the blogosphere and the left-wing going to rally around? You could say Wes Clark (don't know if he's running) or Al Gore (same) or John Edwards or maybe Bill Richardson, but really it comes down to the fact that Obama (if HE runs) is now Hillary's main opponent. I'm upping him to 5:1 for now (will go up if he forms an exploratory committee). And I'm going to knock John Edwards back down to 6:1... Feingold in the race helped him a bit.
I'm also taking Al Gore from 5:1 to 7:1 since he wasn't part of this Democratic revival, and people might not want to be seen as going backwards.
Here are some of the times I've discussed Feingold's potential presidential candidacy: 10/12/06: Bumped him from 13:1 to 12:1 in light of Warner dropping out. 5/25/06: I begrudgingly move him up from 12:1 to 11:1 after he continues to be popular with the Daily Kos crowd. 5/12/06: I argue that Feingold is not 2008's Howard Dean. 4/15/05: I think his 2nd divorce could hurt his chances. 1/31/05: Noted his initial interest. 11/9/04: In my initial survey of the landscape, I put Feingold as the lead longshot.