Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Thursday, November 30, 2006
Presidential Odds Update
Democrats Hillary Clinton 5:2. There is speculation floating around that Hillary isn't doing what she needs to in Iowa, and further speculation that maybe she won't run if Obama gets in. Not sure I believe it - I think she's very driven, and would consider him an ideal VP partner - but I have to reflect it nonetheless. So I'm taking her down from 5:3 to 5:2. Barack Obama 5:1 John Edwards 6:1. Al Gore 7:1. Jimmy Carter wants Al to run and would support him. Evan Bayh 10:1 Bill Richardson 10:1 John Kerry 14:1. Wes Clark 14:1. Joe Biden 16:1. Tom Vilsack 18:1. Did this on Thursday. Chris Dodd 20:1. He's been talking about it very seriously - it seems like he's running, so I'll take him up from 35:1 to 20:1. But I can't really envision the scenario right now that sees this happen. Tom Daschle 22:1. Bill Bradley 48:1 Brian Schweitzer 60:1 Bill Nelson 65:1 Howard Dean 85:1 Janet Napolitano 100:1
Republicans John McCain 3:1. Mitt Romney 6:1. Rudy Giuliani 8:1.. Newt Gingrich 11:1 Condoleezza Rice 16:1. Chuck Hagel 17:1. Sam Brownback 17:1. Mike Huckabee 20:1 George Pataki 22:1 Jeb Bush 24:1 George Allen 30:1 Mark Sanford 30:1 Colin Powell 35:1 Tom Ridge 35:1 Duncan Hunter 38:1. Bill Owens 40:1 Haley Barbour 40:1 Dick Cheney 125:1 Christie Todd Whitman 150:1