Mostly rational politics, with occasional rants about how a few crazy Republicans are ruining the country.
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Friday, December 08, 2006
For now, Obama seems to be in this
I have speculated previously that if Obama doesn't run, it will probably be for family reasons (his wife doesn't seem to be into it, and he has two young daughters).
But lately he really seems to be taking this seriously - meeting top New York donors like George Soros, traveling to New Hampshire to meet the right folks - all the moves you'd expect of someone not just determining whether he wants to do it personally, but someone who really wants to see if he has a serious shot. Which he does.
Today I'd put the probability of him running at something like 55%, whereas a month ago I would have said 40%. Given that, I'm bumping up his odds from 5:1 to 4:1. If he declares, he'd probably be co-favs with Hill.